Biesheim vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
1º
44
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 4
BIE
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BIE
4 - 0
CHA
67%
18%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 2
BIE
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BIE
3 - 2
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RAO
2 - 3
BIE
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAR
0 - 3
THA
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 3
THA
25%
21%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
THA
2 - 1
RCE
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
THA
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
JAR
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |