Biescas vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BIE
2 - 1
CFV
43%
25%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 1
BIE
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BIE
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
BIE
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BIE
0 - 0
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UDM
0 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
UDM
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GIN
0 - 1
UDM
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UDM
1 - 0
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |