Besa Kavajë vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
3º
3º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
VLZ
1 - 0
BES
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BUR
1 - 1
BES
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
BES
0 - 2
APO
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
LUS
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
KRU
0 - 1
BES
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
DIN
6 - 1
ERZ
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ERZ
0 - 1
LUS
33%
26%
42%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 1
ERZ
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
ERZ
1 - 2
POG
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 1
ERZ
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |