Berkeley Vale vs Western NSW Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berkeley Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
BVS
5 - 1
AHH
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
BVS
5 - 1
HHF
80%
12%
7%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
ESF
4 - 3
BVS
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BVS
6 - 0
PRF
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Western NSW Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
WNM
3 - 1
LFC
62%
19%
20%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
WNM
0 - 4
ROC
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
WNM
4 - 0
PFC
19%
19%
62%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
GFC
0 - 3
WNM
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
WNM
0 - 3
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |