Bergerac vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
BER
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BER
0 - 1
LIM
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
SAI
51%
24%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VIC
2 - 1
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BER
1 - 1
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
ROD
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 2
BAL
50%
26%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
AUC
1 - 2
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |