Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 6
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
SLB
8 - 1
VST
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
9 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
SCP
2 - 3
BEL
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
SCP
4 - 0
LEX
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
SCP
22%
19%
59%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |