Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
CAR
0 - 0
SLB
26%
20%
55%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
VST
3 - 3
SLB
43%
21%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SCP
9 - 1
BOA
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCP
47%
21%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
79%
12%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
SCP
1 - 1
CAR
78%
13%
10%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
FCP
10 - 1
SCP
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |