Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
TON
0 - 2
SLB
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 5
SLB
10%
18%
72%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SLB
1 - 2
GFC
87%
11%
3%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAÇ
0 - 5
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
3 - 2
FAM
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
FCP
13%
20%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIT
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
FCP
8%
17%
75%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 1
FCP
56%
23%
22%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |