Benevento vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
TAR
2 - 0
BEN
57%
26%
17%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 1
AVE
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
FER
0 - 1
BEN
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
BEN
47%
28%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
SAS
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
SOR
72%
17%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
PES
2 - 1
VIR
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
NOC
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
VIS
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LAQ
3 - 1
VIR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |