Benevento vs Perugia analysis

Benevento Perugia
66 ELO 59
-11.2% Tilt 9.8%
775º General ELO ranking 1427º
42º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
57%
Benevento
25%
Draw
18%
Perugia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Benevento
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18%
Win probability
Perugia
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benevento
-20%
-15%
Perugia

ELO progression

Benevento
Perugia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benevento
Benevento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2013
ASG
AS Gubbio 1910
2 - 2
Benevento
BEN
22%
25%
53%
66 55 11 0
06 Oct. 2013
BEN
Benevento
1 - 0
Nocerina
NOC
53%
26%
21%
66 61 5 0
29 Sep. 2013
PON
Pontedera
3 - 1
Benevento
BEN
11%
21%
68%
67 45 22 -1
15 Sep. 2013
BEN
Benevento
4 - 1
Lecce
LEC
29%
27%
45%
66 72 6 +1
08 Sep. 2013
GRO
Grosseto
1 - 1
Benevento
BEN
38%
25%
37%
66 59 7 0

Matches

Perugia
Perugia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2013
PRG
Perugia
0 - 1
Pisa SC
PIS
41%
27%
33%
60 63 3 0
06 Oct. 2013
ACP
Prato
2 - 2
Perugia
PRG
34%
28%
38%
60 53 7 0
29 Sep. 2013
PRG
Perugia
2 - 0
Lecce
LEC
24%
25%
51%
59 70 11 +1
22 Sep. 2013
GRO
Grosseto
2 - 0
Perugia
PRG
56%
24%
21%
60 60 0 -1
08 Sep. 2013
PRG
Perugia
2 - 1
AS Gubbio 1910
ASG
56%
24%
20%
59 56 3 +1