Belgrano II vs Sarmiento II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 1
BEL
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
5 - 1
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GOC
4 - 2
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALD
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
1 - 0
BEL
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
LAN
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
3 - 0
SAR
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
OLI
29%
23%
49%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
SAR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 3
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |