Belfort vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SAI
0 - 5
BEL
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
BEL
3 - 4
ANN
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
YZE
3 - 0
BEL
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
YZE
1 - 1
BEL
32%
27%
42%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPI
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SPI
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SPI
2 - 1
BLA
79%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SPI
2 - 2
AND
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SPI
0 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |