Bayreuth SpVgg vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 2
BAY
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 0
VRG
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 2
BAY
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
MEM
2 - 1
BAY
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
BAY
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NUR
0 - 3
GRE
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SEL
0 - 1
NUR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 0
NUR
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 1
EIN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 3
ILL
30%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |