Bayern München vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
BYM
4 - 0
FCB
40%
23%
37%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HAN
1 - 6
BYM
11%
19%
70%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BYM
6 - 1
WOL
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BYM
4 - 0
FCN
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
BYM
25%
24%
51%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
STU
2 - 1
SCF
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
STU
2 - 1
SCF
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SCF
3 - 1
HAN
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HSV
0 - 1
SCF
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SCF
2 - 0
MON
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |