Bavois vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MEY
1 - 1
BAV
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAV
2 - 3
CSC
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUD
1 - 1
BAV
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BAV
1 - 4
ECH
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAV
2 - 1
YOU
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
ETO
0 - 4
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ETO
0 - 3
SER
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BUL
2 - 2
ETO
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ETO
1 - 0
GRA
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
UGS
0 - 2
ETO
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |