KSV Baunatal vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
FVB
0 - 2
BAU
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
VIK
2 - 2
BAU
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
BAU
0 - 3
BUC
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
BAU
2 - 4
FUL
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
BRA
0 - 0
BAU
27%
23%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
FUL
16%
23%
61%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
ERZ
23%
26%
51%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HUN
3 - 3
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 3
BUC
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |