Bastida vs Torrevillese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BIA
1 - 1
BAS
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATL
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 2
RIV
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CON
38%
24%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Torrevillese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
VAR
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BIA
2 - 2
TOR
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 3
VIS
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LOM
2 - 0
TOR
70%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |