Bastida vs Robbio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 2
BAS
10%
17%
73%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CAS
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
TOR
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BIA
1 - 1
BAS
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATL
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Robbio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ROB
0 - 1
BIA
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROB
81%
12%
6%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ROB
1 - 2
LOM
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
ROB
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ROB
1 - 1
CIS
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +1 |