Bastida vs Casteggio 1898 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 0
TOR
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BIA
1 - 1
BAS
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATL
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 2
RIV
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 1
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Casteggio 1898
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
BIA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 4
LOM
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
CIS
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |