Bastia vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1971 |
MAR
5 - 2
BAS
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIR
37%
25%
39%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1971 |
NAN
3 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
BAS
4 - 0
SED
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1971 |
VAL
3 - 1
REI
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1971 |
VAL
4 - 0
SOC
36%
31%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1971 |
LYO
3 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
VAL
0 - 0
AJA
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
5 - 2
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |