Bastia vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1992 |
MEZ
0 - 1
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 10 | 53 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
TFC
3 - 1
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
PSG
3 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
BAS
2 - 2
ASN
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
BRE
7 - 0
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1992 |
TFC
0 - 0
MON
25%
30%
46%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
LHA
1 - 1
TFC
46%
29%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
POI
0 - 2
TFC
18%
25%
57%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1992 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
MPL
0 - 0
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |