Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCM
3 - 1
BAS
38%
28%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUX
24%
27%
50%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
MET
2 - 0
BAS
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
REN
48%
28%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 0
GIR
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIC
45%
29%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 2
PSG
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
NIC
0 - 0
REN
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
FCM
0 - 0
NIC
46%
28%
27%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |