Bastia vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
PSG
3 - 0
BAS
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
BAS
3 - 0
CAN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
BAS
3 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
DIJ
0 - 1
BAS
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1995 |
NIC
3 - 1
MON
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
LEN
2 - 1
NIC
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1995 |
NIC
3 - 4
STR
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
PAU
1 - 2
NIC
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |