Bastia vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
AUX
2 - 2
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
3 - 1
BRE
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 0
LEN
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
AUX
0 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
ASN
0 - 0
GIR
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 2
ASN
47%
25%
27%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
ASN
3 - 2
MPL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
LYO
2 - 0
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1981 |
MON
1 - 0
ASN
63%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |