Bastia vs Gallia Lucciana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.5%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
13%
22%
66%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 1
SCR
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LEP
1 - 1
BAS
7%
19%
74%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
FBB
76%
17%
7%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAS
12%
24%
64%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUC
3 - 2
VIL
60%
20%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GEM
5 - 2
LUC
33%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LUC
2 - 0
CAN
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LUC
0 - 1
AJA
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SCR
2 - 0
LUC
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |