Bastia vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
NÎM
0 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 2
SOC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
REN
4 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
MET
1 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
REN
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
PSG
4 - 5
LIL
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 2
AUX
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 0
LIL
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |