Bastia vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
MON
5 - 2
BAS
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
IST
61%
24%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 1
TFC
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ASS
3 - 0
BAS
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
LEN
5 - 2
REN
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
MET
1 - 1
LEN
38%
29%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
LEN
3 - 2
SOC
41%
27%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |