Bastia vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
GIR
2 - 2
BAS
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 0
LIL
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
TFC
3 - 1
BAS
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
LHA
0 - 0
MET
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
TFC
1 - 0
LHA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
LHA
1 - 2
PSG
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
NAN
2 - 1
LHA
74%
16%
11%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
LHA
1 - 0
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |