Bastia vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
LYO
0 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 3
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 2
MON
21%
29%
51%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
NAN
0 - 0
BAS
75%
18%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
BAS
0 - 1
STR
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
AUX
2 - 2
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1994 |
NAN
0 - 0
AUX
44%
26%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1994 |
AUX
4 - 0
SOC
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
LEN
1 - 1
AUX
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1994 |
AUX
1 - 1
LHA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |