Bastia vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
CAE
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AJA
0 - 2
BAS
11%
22%
67%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
NLG
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAS
6 - 1
CBL
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
IST
0 - 1
BAS
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AUB
2 - 1
GEM
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
AUB
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 3
SRE
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SCR
0 - 2
AUB
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AUB
2 - 0
EFB
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | +1 |