Bastia Calcio vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BAS
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 2
PIS
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 2
PIS
20%
24%
55%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PIS
3 - 1
PIA
65%
21%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FIE
0 - 3
PIS
19%
22%
60%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |