Bastelicaccia vs Menton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastelicaccia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
EFB
1 - 2
BAS
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SRA
2 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
5 - 1
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
AGD
16%
23%
62%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Menton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 1
SRA
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
ROM
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ROM
4 - 0
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AGD
4 - 0
ROM
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ROM
0 - 0
UZE
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |