Basingstoke Town vs Kidlington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basingstoke Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
MER
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEN
2 - 0
BAS
28%
24%
49%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 1
BAS
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 3
WAL
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
0 - 4
BAS
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STO
1 - 0
KID
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
KEM
0 - 0
KID
16%
20%
65%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KID
2 - 1
EXM
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KID
2 - 2
KIN
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KID
2 - 0
NOR
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |