Basildon United vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
HUL
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAN
4 - 1
BAS
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
STO
0 - 0
BAS
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 3
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 2
AVE
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 0
AVE
34%
25%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AVE
5 - 2
CTF
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AVE
2 - 1
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |