Barry Town vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
PON
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
WES
3 - 3
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 2
BRY
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
BRI
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
LID
2 - 0
BAR
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
BRY
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LID
3 - 0
CAR
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
TON
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TAF
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |