Barrow vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAR
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
ALD
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
LIN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAR
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
EAS
29%
26%
46%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BRO
3 - 2
KID
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
KID
0 - 2
LIN
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
KID
2 - 2
GUL
36%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 1
KID
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KID
0 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |