Barrow vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
BAR
61%
21%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
STA
1 - 3
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALT
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 3
GUI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ALD
3 - 0
GUI
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
TOW
2 - 3
GUI
33%
25%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 2
ALT
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GUI
3 - 0
BRA
50%
23%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |