La Barrera vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Barrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CDP
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
PEN
54%
23%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 1
BAR
27%
23%
50%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
COR
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ATC
0 - 3
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
ANT
25%
24%
51%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
LAV
59%
21%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CIU
3 - 2
EST
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
POZ
18%
23%
59%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +1 |