Barnet vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
LEY
1 - 0
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
EXE
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FLE
2 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
ROT
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
PLY
2 - 1
ALD
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 2
AFC
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WYC
1 - 1
PLY
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PLY
1 - 1
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 3
PLY
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |