Bahrain vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
OMA
1 - 0
BHR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2002 |
KSA
1 - 0
BHR
75%
18%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
JOR
1 - 2
BHR
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
0 - 0
BHR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
BHR
3 - 1
YEM
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
PRK
0 - 1
LBN
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
LBN
1 - 0
SYR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
0 - 0
BHR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
4 - 2
YEM
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
SYR
4 - 1
LBN
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |