Barbalha vs Crateús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 4
TIR
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ITA
5 - 1
BAR
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 2
CRA
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 2
CRA
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
TIR
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
CRA
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |