Baraunas vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
65.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
4 - 2
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAM
38%
27%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ABC
1 - 2
ASA
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 0
ABC
44%
24%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 0
CEA
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +2 |