Baraunas vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ASA
1 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 3
TRE
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
CRZ
5 - 0
BAR
91%
7%
2%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
BAR
3 - 7
CRZ
10%
19%
72%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
51%
22%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
TRE
4 - 1
ABC
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ABC
0 - 0
ASA
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ABC
2 - 1
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ARN
0 - 3
ABC
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ABC
3 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |