Barakaldo vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 1
BAR
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
BEA
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ELG
1 - 2
BAR
23%
29%
49%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 0
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
GER
55%
25%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GER
2 - 2
BFC
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BEA
3 - 0
GER
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GER
0 - 1
ELG
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
GER
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |