Barakaldo vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
MON
3 - 1
BAR
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CFP
1 - 1
BAR
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
MIR
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SES
1 - 0
BAR
45%
30%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 0
EIB
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 0
COM
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RCF
1 - 2
CEL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
ZAM
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |