Bangu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FRI
2 - 0
BAN
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAN
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
3 - 3
CAB
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 1
TUP
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 1
BAN
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
0 - 4
VAS
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 1
POR
89%
9%
2%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLU
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
FLU
4 - 1
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
FRI
0 - 3
FLU
15%
21%
65%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |