Baltimore vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GON
1 - 0
BAL
31%
32%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
RAC
36%
30%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
PET
29%
31%
40%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAV
2 - 0
BAL
43%
32%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DON
4 - 1
BAL
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AIG
1 - 2
PET
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
DON
3 - 0
AIG
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AIG
0 - 1
ASM
43%
29%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GON
1 - 0
AIG
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
AIG
1 - 3
TEM
45%
28%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |