Baltimore vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
25.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 0
BAL
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
VAL
38%
32%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
CAV
0 - 0
BAL
42%
33%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
VIC
42%
31%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 2
AIG
48%
30%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
AIG
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
AIG
2 - 3
DON
39%
32%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PET
0 - 2
AIG
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FIC
3 - 0
AIG
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
AIG
0 - 0
FIC
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |