Baltika vs FC Oryol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARS
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ANZ
1 - 0
BAL
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 3
NAL
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
BAL
0 - 3
TER
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
FC Oryol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
DIN
1 - 0
FCO
54%
27%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
FCO
0 - 0
MOR
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2004 |
FCO
1 - 0
SGI
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
NEF
2 - 2
FCO
70%
20%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
KAM
2 - 1
FCO
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |