Balma vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAL
55%
25%
21%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 2
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
TOU
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOU
4 - 0
LIM
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BAY
2 - 0
TOU
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
ANG
48%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |